Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.055044 0.064524 0.075102 0.087775 0.102542 0.119201 0.139423
2025-08-24 0.040092 0.052333 0.067471 0.087548 0.113459 0.145764 0.189104
2025-08-31 0.031060 0.044049 0.061435 0.086362 0.121149 0.167951 0.235702
2025-09-07 0.026021 0.039508 0.058772 0.088214 0.132012 0.194707 0.291259
2025-09-14 0.021689 0.034947 0.054981 0.087347 0.138234 0.215080 0.339910
2025-09-21 0.018113 0.030784 0.050928 0.085128 0.141622 0.231111 0.383555
2025-09-28 0.015222 0.027169 0.047062 0.082406 0.143486 0.244544 0.424303
2025-10-05 0.013700 0.025575 0.046203 0.084409 0.153208 0.271637 0.490750
2025-10-12 0.012224 0.023802 0.044734 0.085043 0.160483 0.295249 0.553931
2025-10-19 0.010930 0.022150 0.043212 0.085292 0.166964 0.318043 0.618240
2025-10-26 0.009962 0.020964 0.042367 0.086641 0.175567 0.345563 0.694518
2025-11-02 0.009273 0.020228 0.042269 0.089389 0.187152 0.379930 0.787995
2025-11-09 0.008063 0.018246 0.039457 0.086357 0.186946 0.391688 0.838875
2025-11-16 0.007261 0.017025 0.038049 0.086069 0.192389 0.415473 0.917566
2025-11-23 0.006491 0.015752 0.036348 0.084891 0.195733 0.435243 0.990172
2025-11-30 0.006040 0.015144 0.036020 0.086709 0.205876 0.470623 1.101055
2025-12-07 0.005456 0.014128 0.034621 0.085857 0.209810 0.492794 1.184994
2025-12-14 0.004860 0.012988 0.032772 0.083674 0.210318 0.507244 1.252838
2025-12-21 0.004309 0.011876 0.030835 0.080998 0.209263 0.517894 1.312922
2025-12-28 0.004064 0.011531 0.030753 0.082968 0.219943 0.557639 1.448584
2026-01-04 0.003775 0.011022 0.030181 0.083591 0.227279 0.590085 1.570012
2026-01-11 0.003496 0.010498 0.029502 0.083836 0.233659 0.620882 1.690996
2026-01-18 0.003288 0.010145 0.029234 0.085162 0.243098 0.660581 1.840105